The George W. Bush National Yellow Elephant Sanctuary
posted by Gen. JC Christian, Patriot @ 8/30/2005 11:12:00 PM
80 comments
Tuesday, August 30, 2005
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80 Comments:
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Nice.
Say, General, where can a gal get some of those flyers? I would love to plaster the area in front of the hindquarters, er, headquarters of Move America Backward, er, Forward, located in Sacramento, just a few blocks from my house.
I didn't see the flyers at your store or a download link -- maybe I missed it?
MFA needs to feel the Chickenhawk Roosting Area love. bawk! bawk!
“Pseudoconservativism is among other things a disorder in relation to authority, characterized by an inability to find other modes for human relationship than those of more or less complete domination or submission … The pseudo-conservative is a man who, in the name of upholding traditional American values and institutions and defending them against more or less fictitious dangers, consciously or unconsciously aims at their abolition … [He] sees his own country as being so weak that it is constantly about to fall victim to subversion; and yet he feels that it is so all-powerful that any failure it may experience in getting its way in the world … cannot possibly be due to its limitations but must be attributed to its having been betrayed.”
–Richard Hofstadter, The Paranoid Style in American Politics and Other Essays, 1965.
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That's beautiful.
General, I'd eat a mile of human dung for one kiss from your sweet lips. And I mean that in the most heterosexual way possible.
Brilliant!!! A prize to the first person that slaps one of those on a freeper's head.
Uh, wow. I just did that for a lark and am surprised by the response. The sign doesn't appear in the OYE shop because I just made the graphic as of yesterday and the effort got me a spot as an OYE contributor.
"Photoshop or for real? Either way, it's beautiful.", some people asked on Atrios.
Full disclosure: The photos of the North face of the White House are legit (although they probably got ripped down 30 seconds after I left). The South side is 'shopped, only because where I pasted the sign, which was behind one street, one walkway and three fences, which is as close as one could get that day, you couldn't see the White House.
I will make a downloadable version of the sign in a few formats for your printing pleasure.
not to nitpick, the idea is brilliant, but you need a period on the last sentence.
Here Ron: . .
Take two, they're small.
The war seems to have no end, why should that sentence?
Very nice
Simply brilliant. Well done!
Since the president's followers seem to be zealots, I think all he needs to do is issue a nationwide call for supporters of the war to enlist. He could be more specific and call for the college republicans and all supporters under the age of 27 to enlist for starters, then as more are needed he can expand the call up. These people are believers, so they will follow where he leads...not.
This very much reminds me of the Meese is a Pig campgaign in DC in the summer of '88. Those signs were plastered EVERYWHERE around the city. Reagan replaced Meese as Attorney General that same year.
It's a little like throwing water on the wicked witch of the west....truth bothers fascists to distraction......
very funny :O)
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Under the FCRA, both the CRA and the organization that provided the information to the CRA, such as a bank or credit card company, have responsibilities for correcting inaccurate or incomplete information in your report. To protect all your rights under the law, contact both the CRA and the information provider.
First, tell the CRA in writing what information you believe is inaccurate. Include copies (NOT originals) of documents that support your position. In addition to providing your complete name and address, your letter should clearly identify each item in your report you dispute, state the facts and explain why you dispute the information, and request deletion or correction. You may want to enclose a copy of your report with the items in question circled. Your letter may look something like the sample below. Send your letter by certified mail, return receipt requested, so you can document what the CRA received. Keep copies of your dispute letter and enclosures.
Sample Dispute Letter
Date
Your Name
Your Address
Your City, State, Zip Code
Complaint Department
Name of Credit Reporting Agency
Address
City, State, Zip Code
Dear Sir or Madam:
I am writing to dispute the following information in my file. The items I
dispute are also encircled on the attached copy of the report I received.
(Identify item(s) disputed by name of source, such as creditors or tax
court, and identify type of item, such as credit account, judgment, etc.)
This item is (inaccurate or incomplete) because (describe what is
inaccurate or incomplete and why). I am requesting that the item be
deleted (or request another specific change) to correct the information.
Enclosed are copies of (use this sentence if applicable and describe any
enclosed documentation, such as payment records, court documents)
supporting my position. Please reinvestigate this (these) matter(s) and
(delete or correct) the disputed item(s) as soon as possible.
Sincerely,
Your name
Enclosures: (List what you are enclosing)
CRAs must reinvestigate the items in question—usually within 30 days—unless they consider your dispute frivolous. They also must forward all relevant data you provide about the dispute to the information provider. After the information provider receives notice of a dispute from the CRA, it must investigate, review all relevant information provided by the CRA, and report the results to the CRA. If the information provider finds the disputed information to be inaccurate, it must notify all nationwide CRAs so they can correct this information in your file.
Disputed information that cannot be verified must be deleted from your file. If your report contains erroneous information, the CRA must correct it. If an item is incomplete, the CRA must complete it. For example, if your file showed that you were late making payments, but failed to show that you were no longer delinquent, the CRA must show that you’re current.
If your file shows an account that belongs only to another person, the CRA must delete it.
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Also, if you request, the CRA must send notices of corrections to anyone who received your report in the past six months. Job applicants can have a corrected copy of their report sent to anyone who received a copy during the past two years for employment purposes. If a reinvestigation does not resolve your dispute, ask the CRA to include your statement of the dispute in your file and in future reports.
Second, in addition to writing to the CRA, tell the creditor or other information provider in writing that you dispute an item. Again, include copies (NOT originals) of documents that support your position. Many providers specify an address for disputes. If the provider then reports the item to any CRA, it must include a notice of your dispute. In addition, if you are correct—that is, if the disputed information is not accurate—the information provider may not use it again.
How to Dispute Credit Report Errors
Your credit report--a type of consumer report--contains information about where you work and live and how you pay your bills. It also may show whether you've been sued or arrested or have filed for bankruptcy. Companies called consumer reporting agencies (CRAs) or credit bureaus compile and sell your credit report to businesses. Because businesses use this information to evaluate your applications for credit, insurance, employment, and other purposes allowed by the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA), it's important that the information in your report is complete and accurate.
Some financial advisors suggest that you periodically review your credit report for inaccuracies or omissions. This could be especially important if you're considering making a major purchase, such as buying a home. Checking in advance on the accuracy of information in your credit file could speed the credit-granting process.
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If you've been denied credit, insurance, or employment because of information supplied by a CRA, the FCRA says the company you applied to must give you the CRA's name, address, and telephone number. If you contact the agency for a copy of your report within 60 days of receiving a denial notice, the report is free. In addition, you're entitled to one free copy of your report a year if you certify in writing that (1) you're unemployed and plan to look for a job within 60 days, (2) you're on welfare, or (3) your report is inaccurate because of fraud. Otherwise, a CRA may charge you up to $9.00 for a copy of your report.
If you simply want a copy of your report, call the CRAs listed in the Yellow Pages under "credit" or "credit rating and reporting." Call each credit bureau listed since more than one agency may have a file on you, some with different information. The three major national credit bureaus are:
Equifax, P.O. Box 740241, Atlanta, GA 30374-0241; (800) 685-1111.
Experian (formerly TRW), P.O. Box 2002, Allen, TX 75013; (888) EXPERIAN (397-3742).
Trans Union, P.O. Box 1000, Chester, PA 19022; (800) 916-8800.
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Under the FCRA, both the CRA and the organization that provided the information to the CRA, such as a bank or credit card company, have responsibilities for correcting inaccurate or incomplete information in your report. To protect all your rights under the law, contact both the CRA and the information provider.
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If your report contains erroneous information, the CRA must correct it.
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Also, if you request, the CRA must send notices of corrections to anyone who received your report in the past six months. Job applicants can have a corrected copy of their report sent to anyone who received a copy during the past two years for employment purposes. If a reinvestigation does not resolve your dispute, ask the CRA to include your statement of the dispute in your file and in future reports.
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Information about criminal convictions may be reported without any time limitation.
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Credit information reported in response to an application for a job with a salary of more than $75,000 has no time limit.
Credit information reported because of an application for more than $150,000 worth of credit or life insurance has no time limit.
Information about a lawsuit or an unpaid judgment against you can be reported for seven years or until the statute of limitations runs out, whichever is longer. Criminal convictions can be reported without any time limit.
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Your credit file may not reflect all your credit accounts. Although most national department store and all-purpose bank credit card accounts will be included in your file, not all creditors supply information to CRAs: Some travel, entertainment, gasoline card companies, local retailers, and credit unions are among those creditors that don't. If you've been told you were denied credit because of an "insufficient credit file" or "no credit file" and you have accounts with creditors that don't appear in your credit file, ask the CRA to add this information to future reports. Although they are not required to do so, many CRAs will add verifiable accounts for a fee. You should, however, understand that if these creditors do not report to the CRA on a regular basis, these added items will not be updated in your file.
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A payday loan is a short-term loan that you promise to pay back from your next pay cheque. A payday loan is sometimes also called a payday advance.
Normally, you have to pay back a payday loan on or before your next payday (usually in two weeks or less). The amount you can borrow is usually limited to 30 percent of the net amount of your pay cheque. The net amount of your pay cheque is your total pay, after any deductions such as income taxes. For example, if your pay cheque is $1,000 net every two weeks, your payday loan could be for a maximum of $300 ($1,000 x 30%).
Before giving you a payday loan, lenders will ask for proof that you have a regular income, a permanent address and an active bank account. Some payday lenders also require that you be over the age of 18.
To make sure you pay back the loan, all payday lenders will ask you to provide a postdated cheque or to authorize a direct withdrawal from your bank account for the amount of the loan, plus all the different fees and interest charges that will be added to the original amount of the loan. The combination of multiple fees and interest charges are what make payday loans so expensive (Click here for an explanation of the various fees associated with these types of loans.
The lender should also ask you to sign a loan agreement. If the lender does not offer to give you a copy of the loan agreement, ask for one. Read this document carefully before signing it, and keep a copy for your records
How and when do I pay back the loan?
A payday loan agreement usually says that you must pay the total amount you owe for the loan on or before the date stated in your loan agreement. This includes the amount you borrowed, plus interest and any additional fees and charges.
Some lenders will cash your postdated cheque or process your direct withdrawal on the day the loan is due. However, some lenders may require that you pay the loan in cash, on or before the due date.
If you have not paid the loan in cash by the due date, some lenders may cash your cheque or process the direct withdrawal you signed on the day after your loan's due date, and charge you another fee. Ask the lender what the most inexpensive way is for you to repay your loan.
How does a payday loan affect my credit report?
Credit-reporting agencies collect information on whether or not you make your payments on time. This information, also called your "credit history", is part of your credit report and is used to calculate your credit score.
Making payments on time can help improve your credit score by demonstrating that you are able to manage your debt. Even if you have poor credit, you can rebuild it by using a credit card or other type of credit and paying back the money you owe on time.
This is not the case with payday loans. Since payday lenders are not currently members of the main credit-reporting agencies, getting a payday loan and paying it off on time will not improve your credit score. However, if you do not pay your loan back on time and it is sent to a collection agency, this will likely be reported to a credit-reporting agency and could have a negative impact on your credit report.
How much will a payday loan cost?
A payday loan is much more expensive than most other types of loans offered by financial institutions such as banks or credit unions. Before you apply for a payday loan, find out about all the fees and charges you will have to pay — including the fees you will be charged if you cannot repay the loan on time. The fees may not be easy to see right away, so read the agreement carefully before signing it. If you do not receive an explanation of all of the fees, charges and interest that will apply to the loan, or if you are not satisfied with the explanation you receive, do not sign the loan agreement.
How does the cost of a payday loan compare with other credit products?
Payday loans are much more expensive than other types of loans, including credit cards. But how much are you really paying? How does the cost of a payday loan compare with taking a cash advance on a credit card, using overdraft protection on your bank account or borrowing on a line of credit?
Let's compare the cost of using different types of loans. We'll assume that you borrow $300, for 14 days. Note the considerable difference in the cost of each type of loan.
Things to consider before you apply for a payday loan
Even if you think you may be turned down, ask your bank or credit union for overdraft protection on your bank account, or a line of credit. These are relatively inexpensive ways of obtaining access to extra funds, for short-term use.
If you are turned down for any of these credit options, ask why. If the reason is that you have a poor credit history, contact the three credit-reporting agencies to get a copy of your credit report. Read the reports carefully to make sure that all of the information in it is correct. If you find any errors, contact the credit-reporting agency to find out how you can have the information corrected. The three major credit-reporting agencies in Canada are Equifax Canada, TransUnion Canada and Northern Credit Bureaus. All three of these agencies will give you a copy of your credit report for free if you request that it be sent to you by regular mail.
Ask yourself if you really need to take out a loan, or whether you can get by until your next pay cheque. If you need the money immediately, try to make other arrangements. For example, you may be able to cash in vacation days. Or you might consider getting a short-term loan from a family member or a friend.
If you find that you need to apply for a payday loan because you have no alternative, only borrow an amount that you are 100 percent sure you can repay on the due date of the loan.
Don't borrow more than you need.
Things to consider if you take out a payday loan
Don't be afraid to ask a lot of questions. Read carefully — and take home with you — a copy of the loan agreement that you are being asked to sign. Don't feel pressured to sign the loan agreement right away if you have questions and want more time to read through the agreement on your own. If the lender does not want to give you a copy of the agreement, look for another lender.
Be sure to ask about all the fees, charges and interest that apply when you first get the loan, and what other charges you will owe if you can't pay the loan back on time.
If you are taking out a payday loan at another location to pay back the first payday loan, or you are extending or "rolling over" the loan that you had with the same lender, you could find yourself in serious financial difficulty. The fees, charges and interest will add up quickly on these types of loans, which can put you into serious debt.
How can I figure out the cost of each type of loan?
To estimate the total cost of a loan, including the annual cost of the loan expressed as a percentage of the amount borrowed, follow the steps below.
Step 1:
Determine how much interest you will pay. First, find out the annual interest rate that applies to the loan (if there is one). Figure out the daily interest rate by dividing the annual interest rate of the loan by 365 days. Then, multiply that rate by the length of time you are taking the loan. Finally, multiply the result by the amount you will borrow, in dollars:
Amount of interest
= Annual interest rate
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
365 days × Length of the loan
(number of days) × Amount of the loan
Step 2:
Determine the total cost of the loan by adding any fees that may apply to the interest you will have to pay. Find out what fees apply to the loan and add them to the cost of the interest, found in Step 1:
Total cost of the loan = Amount of interest + Total fees
Step 3:
Estimate the annual cost of the loan, expressed as a percentage of the amount borrowed. First, divide the total cost of the loan, found in Step 2, by the amount of the loan. Then, divide this rate by the length of time you are taking the loan (in days) and multiply it by 365 (the number of days in the year):
Annual cost of the loan (%)
= Cost of the loan
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Amount of the loan ÷ Length of the loan
(number of days) × 365 days
Let's find out the cost of a $300 payday loan, taken for 14 days.
We'll assume that the lender charges you a one-time set-up fee of $10 and a service fee of $40, which includes interest on the loan.
Step 1:
Determine how much interest you will pay. In this case, there is no interest fee. The interest is therefore $0.
Step 2:
Figure out the cost of the loan by adding together any fees that apply and the interest you will have to pay. In this case, you would add the $10 set-up fee and the $40 service fee together:
$10 + $40 = $50
Step 3:
Estimate the total annual cost of the loan, expressed as a percentage of the amount borrowed:
Annual cost of the loan (%)
= Cost of the loan
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Amount of the loan ÷ Length of the loan
(number of days) × 365 days
= $50
———— ÷ 14 days × 365 days
$300
= 4.35 or approximately 435%
The total cost of the payday loan would be $50 with an annual cost of 435 percent of the amount borrowed.
Information asymmetries are common in credit market models, but the usual assumption,
at least in commercial lending, is that borrowers are the better informed party and that
lenders have to screen and monitor to assess whether
firms are creditworthy. The opposite
asymmetry, as we assume here, does not seem implausible in the context of consumer lending.
"Fringe" borrowers are less educated than mainstream borrowers (Caskey 2003), and many
are
first-time borrowers (or are rebounding from a failed first foray into credit). Lenders
know from experience with large numbers of borrowers, whereas the borrower may only have
their own experience to guide them. Credit can also be confusing; after marriage, mortgages
are probably the most complicated contract most people ever enter. Given the subtleties
involved with credit, and the supposed lack of sophistication of sub-prime borrowers, our
assumption that lenders know better seems plausible.
While lenders might deceive households about several variables that in
fluence household
loan demand, we focus on income. We suppose that lenders exaggerate household's future
income in order boost loan demand. Our borrowers are gullible, in the sense that they can
be fooled about their future income, but they borrow rationally given their beliefs. Fooling
borrowers is costly to lenders, where the costs could represent conscience, technological costs
(of learning the pitch), or risk of prosecution. The upside to exaggerating borrowers' income
prospects is obvious—they borrow more. As long as the extra borrowing does not increase
default risk too much, and as long as deceiving borrowers is easy enough, income deception
and predatory—welfare reducing—lending may occur.
After de
fining predatory lending, we test whether payday lending fi ts our definition. Payday
lenders make small, short-term loans to mostly lower-middle income households. The
business is booming, but critics condemn payday lending, especially the high fees and frequent
loan rollovers, as predatory. Many states prohibit payday loans outright, or
indirectly,
via
usury limits.
To test whether payday lending quali
fies as predatory, we compared debt and delinquency
rates for households in states that allow payday lending to those in states that do not. We
focus especially on di
fferences across states households that, according to our model, seem
more vulnerable to predation: households with more income uncertainly or less education.
We use smoking as a third, more ambiguous, proxy for households with high, or perhaps
hyperbolic, discount rates. In general, high discounters will pay higher future costs for a
given, immediate, gain in welfare. Smokers' seem to
fit that description. What makes the
smoking proxy ambiguous is that smokers may have hyperbolic, not just high, discount rates.
Hyperbolic discount rates decline over time in a way that leads to procrastination and selfcontrol
problems (Laibson 1997). The hyperbolic discounter postpones quitting smoking,
or repaying credit. Without knowing whether smokers discount rates are merely high, or
hyperbolic, we will not be able to say whether any extra debt for smokers in payday states
is welfare reducing.
2
Given those proxies, we use a di
fference-in-difference approach to test whether payday
lending
fits our definition of predatory. First we look for diff erences in household debt
and delinquency across payday states and non-payday states, then we test whether those
di
fference are higher for potential prey. To ensure that any such differences are not merely
state e
ffects, we difference a third time across time by comparing whether those di fferences
changed after the advent of payday lending circa 1995. That triple di
fference identifies any
di
fference in debt and delinquency for potential prey in payday states after payday lending
was introduced.
Our
findings seem mostly inconsistent with the hypothesis that payday lenders prey on,
i.e., lower the welfare of, households with uncertain income or households with less education.
Those types of households who happen to live in states that allow unlimited payday loans
are less likely to report being turned down for credit, but are
not more likely, by and large,
to report higher debt levels, contrary to the overborrowing prediction of our model. Nor are
such households more likely to have missed a debt payment in the previous year. On the
contrary, households with uncertain income who live in states with unlimited payday loans
are
less likely to have missed a debt payment over the previous year. The latter result is
consistent with claims by defenders of payday lending that some households borrow from
2
Consistent with a high discount rate, Munasinghe and Sicherman (2000) discover that smokers have
fl
atter wage profiles and they are willing to trade more future earnings for a given increase in current earnings.
Gruber and Mulainathan (2002)
find that high cigarette taxes make smokers "happier," consistent with
hypberbolic discount rates (because taxes help smokers commit to quitting). DellaVigna and Malmendier
(2004) show how credit card lenders can manipulate hyperbolic discounters by front-loading bene
fits and
back-loading costs.
payday lenders to avoid missing payments on other debt. On the whole, our results seem
consistent with the hypothesis that payday lending represents a legitimate increase in the
supply of credit, not a contrived increase in credit demand.
We
find some interesting differences for smokers, but those diff erences are harder to
interpret in relation to the predatory hypothesis without knowing
apriori whether smokers
are hyperbolic, or merely high, discounters.
We also
find, using a small set of data from different sources, that payday loan rates
and fees decline signi
ficantly as the number of payday lenders and pawnshops increase.
Reformers often advocate usury limits to lower payday loan fees but our evidence suggests
that competition among payday lenders (and pawnshops) works to lower payday loan prices.
Our paper has several cousins in the academic literature. Ausubel (1991) argues that
credit card lenders exploit their superior information about household credit demand in their
marketing and pricing of credit cards. The predators in our model pro
fit from their information
advantage as well. Our concept of income delusion or deception also has a behavioral
fl
avor, as well, hence our use of smoking as a proxy for self-control problems. Brunnermeier
and Parker (2004), for example, imagine that households
choose what to expect about future
income (or other outcomes). High hopes give households' current "felicity," even if it
distorts borrowing and other income-dependent decisions. Our households have high hopes
for income, and they make bad borrowing decisions, but we do not count the current felicity
from high hopes as an o
ffset to the welfare loss from overborrowing.
Our costly falsi
fication (of household income prospects) and costly verification (by counselors)
resemble Townsend's (1979) costly state veri
fication and Lacker andWeinbergs' (1989)
costly state falsi
fication. The main difference here is that the falsifying and verifying comes
before income is realized, not after.
More importantly, we hope our
findings inform the current, very real-world debate,
around predatory lending. The stakes in that debate are high: millions of lower income
households borrow regularly from thousands of payday loan o
ffices around the country. If
payday lenders raise household welfare by relaxing credit constraints, anti-predatory legislation
may lower it.
Payday lenders make small, short-term loans to households. The typical loan is about $300
for two weeks. The typical fee is $15 per $100 borrowed. Lenders require two recent pay
stubs (as proof of employment), and a recent bank account statement. Borrowers secure
the loan with a post-dated personal check for the loan amount plus fees. When the loan
matures, lenders deposit the check.
Payday lending evolved from check cashing much like bank lending evolved from deposit
taking. For a fee, check cashiers turn personal paychecks into cash. After cashing several
paychecks for the same customer, lending against
f uture paychecks was a natural next step.
High
finance charges is the main criticism against payday lenders. The typical fee of $15
per $100 per two weeks implies an annual interest rate of 15
x365/14, or 390 percent. Payday
lenders are also criticize for overlending, in the sense that borrowers often re
finance their
loans repeatedly, and for "targeting" women making the transition from welfare-to-work
(Fox and Mierzewski 2001) and soldiers (Graves and Peterson 2004).
Despite their critics, payday lending has boomed. The number of payday advance o
ffices
grew from 0 in 1990 to 14
, 000 in 2003 (Stegman and Harris 2003). The industry originated
$8 to $14 billion in loans in 2000, implying 26-47 million individual loans. Rapid entry
suggests the industry is pro
fitable.
Payday lenders present sti
ff competition for pawnshops, even though the internet, namely
E-bay, signi
ficantly foreclosure costs for pawnshops (Caskey 2003). The number of pawn
shops in the U.S. grew about six percent per year between 1986 and 1996, but growth
essentially stalled from 1997 to 2003. Prices of shares in EZCorp, the largest, publicly
traded pawn shop holder, were essentially
flat or declining between 1994 and 2004, while
Ace Cash Express share prices, a retail
financial firm selling check cashing and payday loans,
rose substantially over that period (Figure 4). EZCorp CEO, Joseph Rotunday, blamed
payday lenders for pawnshops' dismal performance:
The company had been progressing very nicely until the late 1990s.... (when)
a new product called payroll advance/payday loans came along and provided our
customer base an alternative choice. Many of them elected the payday loan over
the traditional pawn loan. (Quoted by Caskey (2003) p.14).
Payday lending is heavily regulated (Table 1). As of 2001, eighteen states e
ffectively
prohibited payday loans
via usury limits, and most other states prices, loan size, and loan
frequency per customer (Fox and Mierzwinski 2001). Note that the payday loan limit ranges
from 0 (where payday loans are illegal) to 1250. Nine states allow unlimited payday loans.
Payday lenders have circumvented usury limits by a
ffiliating with national or state
chartered banks, but the Comptroller of the Currency—the overseer of nationally chartered
banks–recently banned such a
ffiliations. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation still
permits payday lenders to a
ffiliate with state banks, but recently restricted those partnerships
(Graves and Peterson 2005).
Regulatory risk—the threat of costly or disabling legislation in the future—looms large for
Payday lenders. The Utah legislature is reconsidering its permissive laws governing payday
lending. North Carolina recently drove payday lenders from the state by expressly outlawing
the practice.
Heavy regulation increases the cost of payday lending. High regulatory risk increases limits
entry into the industry and increases the expected return required by industry investors.
Driving up costs and driving away investors may be exactly what regulators intended if they
view payday lending as predatory.
We de
fine predatory lending as a welfare reducing provision of credit. Households can be
made worse o
ff by borrowing if lenders can deceive households into borrowing more than is
optimal. Excess borrowing reduces household welfare, and may increase default risk.
We illustrate our concept of predatory lending in a standard model of household borrowing.
Before we get to predatory lending, we review basic principles about welfare
improving
lending, the type that lets households maintain their consumption despite
fluctuations in
their income.
The model has two periods: today (period zero) and payday (period one. Household income
goes up and down periodically, but not randomly (for now): income equals zero today
and
y on payday. If households consume Ct in period t, their utility is U (Ct) .Household welfare
is the sum of utility over both periods:
U (C0)+ δU (C1), where δ equals the household's
time rate of discount. Households with high
δ value current consumption highly relative to
future consumption. In other words, high discounters are impatient.
A digression here on discount rates serves later discussion. In classical economics
δ is
constant. If
δ changes over time, so does household behavior, even if nothing else changes.
If
δ(t) is hyperbolic, households will postpone unpleasant tasks until current consumption
does not seem so precious relative to future consumption (Laibson 1997). With hyperbolic
discounting, that day never arrives, so hyperbolic discounters have behavioral problems: they
procrastinate. They may never repay debt, much less begin saving. Hyperbolic discounters
who start smoking may never quit.
Returning to the model, if the marginal utility of consumption (
U 0) is diminishing, households
will demand credit to reduce
fluctuations in their standard of living. Households
without credit, however, must fend for themselves (autarky). Welfare under autarky equals
U
(0)+δU (y). The fluctuations in consumption for households without credit make autarky
a possible worst case, and hence, a good benchmark for comparing cases
with credit.
If households borrow
B at interest rate r, welfare equals U (B) + δU (y − (1 + r)B).
Borrowing increases utility in period zero, when the proceeds are consumed, but lowers utility
in period one, when households pay for their borrowing. Rational, informed households trade
o
ff the good and bad side of borrowing; they borrow until the marginal utility of consuming
another unit today just equals the marginal, discounted
disutility of repaying the extra debt
on payday:
U
0(B) = δ(1 + r)U 0(y − (1 + r)B). (1)
Equation (1) determines household loan demand as a function of their income, their
discount rate, and the market interest rate:
B(y, δ, r). For standard utility functions,
household loan demand is increasing in income and decreasing in the discount factor and
interest rate:
By > 0; B δ < 0; Br < 0. Household welfare with optimal borrowing equals
U
(B(y, r, d))+δU (y − (1+r)B( y, r, δ)). As long as households follow (1), their welfare with
positive borrowing must be higher than without (autarky).
The welfare gain from borrowing depends on the cost of credit production. Suppose the
cost of lending $
B to a particular household equals (1 + ρ)B + f, where ρ represents the
opportunity cost per unit loaned and
f is the fixed cost per loan. Think of f as the cost
of record-keeping and credit check required for each loan, however large or small the loan
may be. If the going price for loans is (1+
r) per unit borrowed, the lenders' profits equal
(
r − ρ)B − f.
With perfect competition among lenders, the loan interest rate is competed down until
it just covers the costs of the loan:
r = ρ + f /B. Equilibrium r and B are determined
where that credit supply curve equals demand (1).
Equilibrium in the payday credit market is illustrated in Figure (3). If
fixed costs per loan
are prohibitively high, the market may not exist. Perhaps the payday lending technology
lowered the
fixed cost per loan enough to make the business viable.3 Before the advent of
payday lending, households who applied to banks for a very small, short-term loan may have
been denied.
Fixed costs per loan imply that smaller loans will cost more per dollar borrowed than
larger loans. That means households with low credit demand will pay higher rates than
households with high loan demand. Loan demand is increasing in income, so high income
households who demand larger quantities of credit will enjoy a "quantity" discount, while
lower income households will pay a "small lot" premium, or penalty. That price "discrimination"
is not invidious, however; the higher cost of smaller loans re
flects the fixed costs of
lending. The high price of payday loans may partly re
flect the combination of fixed costs
and small loan amounts (Flannery and Samolyk 2005).
A usury limit lowers household welfare. Suppose the maximum legal interest rate is
r.
At that maximum rate, the minimum loan that lenders' cost is
f /(r− ρ) = B. Low income
households with loan demand less than
B face a beggar's choice: borrow B at r or do not
borrow at all. Such households would be willing to pay more to to avoid going without
credit, so raising the usury limit would raise welfare for those households.
Competition is another key determinant of how much households gains from borrowing.
3
Alternatively, or additionaly, the demand for small, short term loans may have increased in the mid
1990s. The welfare reform then almost certainly increased demand for such credit as households who once
"worked" at home for the government were forced to go to work in the market.
Even with no competition — monopoly—households cannot be worse o
ff than under autarky.
The monopolist raises interest rates until the marginal revenue from higher rates equals the
marginal cost from lower loan demand:
B
(y, r) = −(r − ρ)Br(y, r) . (2)
At that monopoly interest rate,
rm, household loan demand equals B(y, rm).Household welfare
under monopoly equals
U (Br(y, r m))+δU (y −(1+ rm)Br(y, r m)). Welfare is lower under
monopoly because credit costs more and their standard of living
fluctuates more (because
costly credit reduces their demand for credit) If households borrow from the monopolist,
however, they must better o
ff than without credit.
In sum, welfare for rational households is highest if credit is available at competitive
prices. If households choose to borrow, they must be at least as well o
ff as they were
without credit. Limiting loan rates cannot raise household welfare and may reduce it.
Monopoly lenders lower household welfare, but even with a monopolist, households cannot
be worse o
ff than without credit.
The high cost of payday lending may partly re
flect fixed costs per loan. Before payday
lending, those
fixed costs may have been prohibitive; very small, short-term loans may not
have been worthwhile for banks. The payday lending technology may have lowered those
fi
xed costs, thus increasing the supply of credit to low income households demanding small
loans. That version of the genesis of payday lending suggests the innovation was welfare
improving, not predatory.
In the textbook model household welfare cannot be lower than under autarky because households
are fully informed and rational. Here we show households how can be made worse o
ff
than without credit if predatory lenders can delude households about their (households')
future income.
Suppose that by spending
C(τ ), lenders can convince a prospective borrower that her
income on payday will be
y +τ. The cost C can be interpreted variously as the cost of a guilty
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